The NFL is the only major sports league conducting business (almost) as usual during the coronavirus epidemic. With free agency underway and the draft to come April 23-25 (albeit in a TV studio instead of the planned Las Vegas extravaganza), here are some 2020 win-total choices that are starting to show some value:

Detroit Lions

Over 6.5 wins

The Lions finished with the third-worst record in the NFL last year, going just 3-12-1 overall. Their win total for this upcoming season has been set at 6.5 and, surprisingly, smart money quietly has been pouring in on the Over. The Over 6.5 is being juiced up to -125 at FanDuel, -118 at DraftKings and -121 at PointsBet, signaling market consensus across the board. Detroit has added several players via free agency or trade, including LB Jamie Collins, S Duron Harmon, CB Desmond Trufant, OT Halapoulivaati Vaitai, DT Danny Shelton and QB Chase Daniel. The Lions also own the No. 3 pick in the draft. With a healthy Matthew Stafford and head coach Matt Patricia in must-win mode entering Year 3, can the Lions go 7-9 or better? Based on their juiced-up Over 6.5 win total, the answer might be yes.

Cleveland Browns

Under 8.5 wins

Just like last offseason, the Browns have generated a lot of buzz by bringing in several key players via free agency or trades. Last year, it was Odell Beckham Jr., this year it is TE Austin Hooper and OT Jack Conklin. Cleveland finished 6-10 last season and its win total is set at 8.5 at most shops. However, smart money isn’t buying Cleveland to go 9-7 or better. At FanDuel, the Under 8.5 is juiced up to -136 and at PointsBet it is juiced up to -125. DraftKing started at 8.5 and actually has dipped to 8, further evidence of pro money hitting the Under. The half win could end up being crucial as an 8-8 season would cash the Under at FanDuel and PointsBet but push at DraftKings.

Houston Texans

Over 7.5 wins

Buying low and selling high is a guiding philosophy for value-driven wiseguys, especially when it comes to offseason overreaction to win totals. The Texans finished 10-6 last season, but have gotten crushed by fans and the media alike for trading away star WR DeAndre Hopkins to the Cardinals this offseason. Conventional wisdom says losing Hopkins is huge and Houston is a far worse team without him on the field. However, pros seem to be buying low on the Texans to go 8-8 or better this season. Their win total is 7.5 with the Over juiced to -120 at FanDuel. It has moved from 7.5 to 8 at PointsBet. DraftKings is hanging 7.5 even -110 both sides. Jumping on the Over 7.5 before it goes to 8 looks appealing to many sharps. After all, Houston still has Deshaun Watson.

Source: nypost.com/feed